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Visa Bulletin for May 2011 out

The May 2011 Visa Bulletin was released today.  Below is a copy of important text regarding visa availability for Family and Employment based categories in the coming months.

D. VISA AVAILABILITY DURING THE COMING MONTHS

Family-sponsored:  The extremely high level of demand during the first few months of FY-2011 resulted in the retrogression of most worldwide cut-off dates in January or February.  While most of these cut-offs have begun to advance slowly, heavy demand in the Family First preference has caused a further retrogression for May.  At this time it is not possible to predict the rate of forward movement, but some movement is anticipated in most categories for the remainder of the fiscal year.

Employment-based:  At this time the amount of demand being received in the Employment First preference is extremely low compared with that of recent years.  Absent an immediate and dramatic increase in demand, this category will remain “Current” for all countries.  It also appears unlikely that a Second preference cut-off date will be imposed for any countries other than China and India, where demand is extremely high.  Based on current indications of demand, the best case scenarios for cut-off date movement each month during the coming months are as follows:

Employment Second:  Demand by applicants who are “upgrading” their status from Employment Third to Employment Second preference is very high, but the exact amount is not known.  Such “upgrades” are in addition to the known demand already reported, and make it very difficult to predict ultimate demand based on forward movement of the China and India cut-off dates.  While thousands of “otherwise unused” numbers will be available for potential use without regard to the China and India Employment Second preference per-country annual limits, it is not known how the “upgrades” will ultimately impact the cut-offs for those two countries.  (The allocation of “otherwise unused” numbers is discussed below.)

China: none to three weeks expected through July.  No August or September estimate is possible at this time.

India: One or more weeks, possibly followed by additional movement if demand remains stable.  No August or September estimate is possible at this time.

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